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ruben.maritime

The first web2.0 spanish blog about Maritime Affairs. El primer blog web2.0 español sobre el sector marítimo.

Active storm season forecast for 2007

 MIAMI 11 December – Hurricane forecasters, whose prognostications missed the mark in 2006, are again projecting an active storm season for 2007. Forecasters in the US and UK now say at least 14 storms are expected in the Atlantic, including seven hurricanes – three of which should reach Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Colorado State University climatologist William Gray was the first to reveal his projections and those were followed closely by UK-based Tropical Storm Risk. "Despite a fairly inactive 2006 hurricane season, we believe that the Atlantic basin is in an active hurricane cycle,'' Gray said, noting that the cycle may last as long as 20 years before entering a calmer period. Gray and colleague Phillip Klotzbach said there is a 64% chance that a major storm will strike the US mainland, compared with the 50-year average of 52%, adding that both the East and Gulf coasts have a 40% chance of being hit. Tropical Storm Risk scientists forecast 16 named storms, nine of which will become hurricanes and four of those being intense hurricanes with three of the tropical storms and two hurricanes are predicted to hit the US. Predictions for 2006 called for upwards of 16 or 17 storms, but far fewer formed and no hurricanes actually struck the Atlantic coast.

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